June 9, 2007
Rupee North bound and Dollar South bound
Posted by Sridhar Kondoji under A Mutineer speaks, Business & Industry, Economics, India, WorldHow does this affect you?
If you are traveller, you can now take foreign tours and spend less than you expected. Your purchase power has dramatically boosted with stronger rupee.
If you are just a citizen, expect imported things to cost less and in the long run expect to save more.
If you are an investor avoid investing in any company that is exporting goods/services and doesnot have any mechanism to hedge against currency fultuations. Invest heavily in those companies, who do business locally and generate their revenues locally and who raise money abroad for further ramping/scaling up their productions and or services.
If you are a company based in India, it will now cost you less to outsource.
Like in the previous years, RBI didnot intervene and bought the dollars by releasing more Indian currency into the market. It is not doing so intentionally this time and is allowing the market to dictate the effective rate. Already there are so many industries who are crying foul for immediate RBI intervention as their margins are thinning dure to huge strength in rupee.
There may be a political decision not to intervene as this will allow the government to import goods that is costing more in the domestic market like cement. Cement industry has played hard ball with the government and did not cut prices. They have thrown age old supply/demand equation at the government and turned down their requests in bringing the prices down. Government now can import cement from neighbouring countries and sell in the domestic market.
In reality there is a supply/demand crunch in our country and government is worried about inflation and the costs the poor man has to bear. The strength in Rupee will allow the government to contain the prices and will also help them in debt servicing.
Let us see what happens in near term, but for future, the trend is likely to continue. so why stop the rupee rise?
October 17, 2007 at 1:06 pm
pam param ?
October 17, 2007 at 10:34 pm
Is this gonna Kill You? No i Dont Think so !
February 8, 2008 at 12:19 am
NARENDRA MODI ZINDABAD
I LOVE MODI
BOLO BOLO JAI MODI JAI MODI
MODI FOR PRIME MINISTER OF INDIA
mODI i love you .. MY HERO Reee
April 12, 2008 at 12:05 pm
I cant understand the difference between inflation and the rupee getting its high value. I thought that the higher the rupee value, the lower the inflation. But this doesn’t seem to happen. Today, the inflation has touched a 40 month high. And India has stopped its wheat export to the other nations, till the inflation becomes normal.
Can someone explain why the inflation also rises with increase in rupee value ?
June 19, 2008 at 8:42 am
Somehow i missed the point. Probably lost in translation
Anyway … nice blog to visit.
cheers, Lodgings.